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Analyst warns ANC and EFF coalition could spell disaster

The ANC and EFF coalition has receoved some negative perceptions from a well known political analyst.

North-West University political scientist Professor André Duvenhage is of the notion that this coalition is a recipe for disaster.

Instead – and unwisely so – the ANC would rather go for a more radical coalition with the EFF; a partnership that could see anarchy and further polarisation in the country.

Another analyst, Sandile Swana, said the ANC was already exploring its future partners, especially in Gauteng, where it was likely to lose next year.

But Duvenhage insisted the DA was an ideal coalition partner at national level.

“The best case scenario is a moderate ANC aligning themselves with the DA, creating functionality, not marginalisation of the minority groups in South Africa; using their skills for the benefit of all South Africans, but I am concerned that is too conservative for the ANC.

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“They would rather go with the more radical line of the national democratic revolution and its implementation in terms of the black radical ideology,” he said.

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Such an approach would mean more polarisation at the highest level that may be accompanied by conflict and even stagnation.

“You can read the alliance of the ANC with Russia in that context,” Duvenhage said.

The bigger picture was concerning for the country, particularly from the state perspective.

South Africa was in a real crisis and the ANC support base was eroding.

“It has now reached a critical point where an absolute majority is impossible for the ANC. If I were to be asked, I would go for no absolute majority as the more likely scenario,” Duvenhage said.

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Central to the ANC’s failures to impact its electoral performance was load shedding, poor service delivery on social services, including housing and water provision to the poor, and the high unemployment rate.

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The second aspect that would worsen its downward spiral was its internal squabbles, along with the Ace Magashule factor.

Duvenhage said the EFF’s strategy was to put the ANC under such pressure that the two parties forming an alliance would be its only option.

The EFF would work to ensure the ANC dropped to below the 45% mark, which would force it to seek partnerships in order to reach 50%-plus.

Source: https://www.citizen.co.za/news/coaltion-possibilities-anc-eff-spells-chaos/

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