Only 38 percent of likely 2024 voters believe President Joe Biden will still be alive at the end of a new four-year term, according to an exclusive poll for DailyMail.com.
And that means one thing: Vice President Kamala Harris is just as likely to take the top job in January 2029 as Biden if he is re-elected.
About 36 percent of likely voters believe Harris will be president at the end of the term. The exact same share I think Biden will get the job.
The results show that the 81-year-old president’s age will be a major factor on Nov. 5, when voters choose the commander in chief they want for the next four years.
Donald Trump, his Republican rival, is only four years younger, but voters have fewer doubts.
JL Partners asked 1,005 likely voters their opinions on Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Only 38 percent said they were confident Biden would survive four full years of another term
About 36 percent of voters think Vice President Kamala Harris will be president in January 2029 if Biden is elected to another four-year term in November
More than half say they are confident he will serve the full term, while 34 percent say they have doubts.
Either way, the results show how Republicans and Democrats will have to weigh not only their choice of president, but who is likely to step into the breach if ill health — or worse — incapacitates the leader of the free world makes.
“Voters think Biden is too old, and they’re not changing their minds,” said James Johnson, co-founder of JL Partners, which conducted the poll.
“The difficulty for Biden is that views of him are shaped not by events like his State of the Union address – which people who watched him felt fervently – but by the consumption of the hundreds of viral clips on social media in which Biden stumbles and slurps. .
“That solid perception that he’s too old is fueled by the feeling that he’s too weak, and it’s a big problem for him going into November. Frankly, they don’t think he’s up to the task – and that makes his re-election a much more difficult task.”
Biden would be 86 at the end of a second term.
And he tackled the age issue head-on in his State of The Union address.
“My fellow Americans,” Biden said as he reached his conclusion, “the problem facing our nation is not how old we are, but how old our ideas are?
‘Hate, anger, revenge and retaliation are among the oldest ideas.’
Biden answered questions about his age with a forceful performance as he laid out his platform for the election during his State of the Union address to Congress earlier this month.
Yet perhaps his most viral moment was an example of vulnerability, when he mispronounced the name “Laken Riley,” a woman murdered by an illegal immigrant, as “Lincoln Riley.”
He also often uses humor to defuse the issue.
“I know it may not look like it, but I’ve been around for a while,” he said during the State of the Union.
But he was hit by a slew of negative headlines following a scathing special counsel report that alleged during hours of interrogation that he had forgotten the date his beloved son Beau died and that the president came across as “an older man with a bad memory’ before a jury.
(When the transcript of the interviews was released, however, Biden’s performance was much better than the abbreviated report suggested.)
JL Partners surveyed 1,000 likely voters from March 20 to 24 via landline, mobile phone, text message and apps. The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent
Results show Donald Trump retains his four-point lead over Joe Biden with just over seven months until the November 5 presidential election
Trump has repeatedly attacked Biden as unfit for office because of his age. But he too has suffered from unforced errors and verbal blunders at public events, which some Republicans say demonstrate his declining performance.
“Putin has so little respect for Obama that he’s starting to mess around with the nuclear word,” Trump said earlier this month at a rally in Richmond, Virginia, confusing the current president with a Democratic predecessor.
For now, Trump has the upper hand. A separate DailyMail.com/JL Partners poll of 1,000 likely voters showed the former president maintaining the four-point lead he has held since December.
The Biden campaign did not respond to a request for comment.
