William Ruto won the 2022 presidential election with a narrow gap ahead of the Azimio leader Raila Odinga. Mt Kenya region and Rift Valley heavily contributed to this victory. He also got significant support in other regions such as Coast, Nairobi and Ukambani.
As our focus is now shifting to the next election which will be held in 2027, there are regions that Ruto’s popularity might go down. This regions include Mt Kenya and Ukambani in the lower eastern region. This because of the following reasons.
First Ruto’s popularity in Mt Kenya is like to drop ahead of 2027 when he will be seeking for re-election. This after Uhuru Kenyatta decided to make a come back into politics. Uhuru is likely to reclaim his political backyard that was taken over by Kenya Kwanza. With the high cost of living still biting majority of kenyans, Uhuru will be at the right time to convince his people. As a result, negative change in Ruto’s number of followers in the mountain will be inevitable.
Ruto also performed fairly in Ukambani provided that Kamba kingpin Kalonzo Musyoka was in their opponents’ camp. However, this time things might change if Raila supports Kalonzo for the top seat. In case Kalonzo appears at the ballot, then Ukambani leaders will dedicate more time to consolidate their backyard and this will deny Ruto a lot of votes in the region.
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