Top officials from Donald Trump’s presidential campaign are optimistic about securing swing states, asserting Kamala Harris’ support has plummeted in the crucial battlegrounds as the election nears. Senior advisers Chris LaCivita, Susie Wiles, and pollster Tony Fabrizio shared a memo on Sunday, indicating the Democratic nominee’s campaign is faltering at a critical moment, benefiting Republicans.
Their analysis points to RealClearPolitics’ projections, which estimate Trump gaining 296 electoral votes, more than enough for a victory even if Harris wins a few states in November. According to their internal data, Harris’ momentum peaked in July and has declined since Labour Day, with her favourability dropping from -3 to -5 points. In a direct comparison with Trump, she trails by 2 points, having been tied last month.
The memo highlights a shift in voter dynamics. Trump has improved his standing with independents, now leading Harris by 5 points, a 13-point gain since 2020. Among black voters, Trump’s deficit has narrowed to 61 points from 81 points, a factor behind Barack Obama’s recent appeals for their support. With Hispanic voters, Trump has gained a 7-point lead, reversing his 25-point loss in 2020. He is also only 4 points behind Harris among voters under 45.
The swing state polls are all moving in Trumps direction.
Harris was leading in most of these a few weeks ago when the fake news media was in full Harris pump mode. That honeymoon period is over and reality is coming back into the polling data. pic.twitter.com/k6tVyhBalj
— Wall Street Silver (@WallStreetSilv) October 9, 2024
Harris is perceived as part of the status quo despite her efforts to distance herself from the current administration. The Trump campaign argues that she fails to convince voters she can handle key issues such as the economy, inflation, immigration, crime, and financial improvement.
Public polling in key battlegrounds shows Trump leading on several significant topics. He is viewed as more competent in managing the presidency (49% to 45%), initiating change (47% to 43%), job creation (47% to 42%), combating inflation (50% to 40%), boosting the economy (50% to 41%), and enhancing personal financial conditions (52% to 40%).
Public safety is another critical area where Trump holds an advantage. Only 38% of respondents believe Harris can effectively combat crime and ensure neighbourhood safety. On immigration and border security, only 28% trust Harris, with Trump holding nearly a 2-to-1 lead.
The Trump campaign also criticises Harris for her inconsistent stances on issues like cashless bail, fracking, and electric vehicles. Despite media attempts to reshape her image, voters remain sceptical about her true identity and political reliability.
What Other Media Are Saying
- The Guardian reports that Kamala Harris faces increasing anxiety as Trump gains traction in battleground states, with polls showing a two-point national lead for Harris, down from a four-point margin just two weeks prior.(read more)
Frequently Asked Questions
Here are some common questions asked about this news
How is Trump’s campaign performing in swing states?
Trump’s campaign is optimistic about securing swing states, citing a decline in Kamala Harris’ support.
What does the RealClearPolitics projection say about the election?
RealClearPolitics projects Trump gaining 296 electoral votes, enough for a victory.
How has Trump improved his standing with voters?
Trump has gained with independents, black voters, and Hispanic voters, and is close among voters under 45.
What issues does Trump lead on according to public polling?
Trump leads on managing the presidency, initiating change, job creation, combating inflation, boosting the economy, and enhancing personal finances.
Why is Harris struggling to gain voter confidence?
Harris is seen as part of the status quo and fails to convince voters on key issues like the economy and crime.